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Bologna vs Monza — Prediction

Bologna Bologna
2 – 1
Most likely score (model)
Sat, 31 Oct 2026 · Serie A
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
Monza Monza

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
31 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
Competition
Serie A
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Bologna
  • AC Milan 2–4 Bologna
  • Cagliari 0–2 Bologna
  • Bologna 1–1 Torino
  • Napoli 1–0 Bologna
  • Bologna 2–2 Sassuolo
Monza
  • Monza 1–4 Napoli
  • Monza 2–1 Sassuolo
  • Lecce 3–2 Monza
  • Parma 1–1 Monza
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Bologna 9 · Monza 9. Data saved: 2026-10-31 00:00 UTC.

Table season: 2026

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Monza 41% · 2026-10-31 01:01 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

1 57%
Home Win 1.77
X 20%
Draw 4.97
2 23%
Away Win 4.28
Model goal expectation · 1 2.23
Model goal expectation · 2 1.39
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
BTTS 67%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Bologna 2.23 · Monza 1.39.
1 57% · X 20% · 2 23%.

Correct Score Predictions

2:1 9.3%
1:1 8.3%
3:1 6.9%
2:0 6.7%
2:2 6.4%
1:0 6%
1:2 5.8%
3:0 4.9%
3:2 4.8%
4:1 3.8%
0:1 3.7%
2:3 3%

About this assessment

Model outcome Bologna Win
Probability 57%
Predicted Odds 1.75

Team Comparison

Bologna Monza
12 League Position 16
11 Points 7
33% Win % 22%
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.78
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 2.44

Venue Form

Bologna at Home
W0 D2 L0 (2 games)
0% win rate
Monza Away
W0 D1 L1 (2 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Bologna
W W D L D
Monza
L W L D

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