AC Milan vs Inter — Prediction

1 – 1
Most likely score (model)
Sat, 31 Oct 2026 · Serie A
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
31 Oct 2026, 19:45 UTC
Competition
Serie A
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

AC Milan
  • AC Milan 2–4 Bologna
  • Udinese 0–2 AC Milan
  • AC Milan 1–0 Lecce
  • AC Milan 0–2 Benfica
  • Lazio 2–2 AC Milan
Inter
  • Venezia 0–2 Inter
  • Inter 2–1 Fiorentina
  • AS Roma 2–2 Inter
  • Inter 5–3 Udinese
  • Real Madrid 2–1 Inter
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: AC Milan 9 · Inter 9. Data saved: 2026-10-31 00:00 UTC.

Table season: 2026

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Inter 46% · 2026-10-31 01:01 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 1.52
Model goal expectation · 2 1.99
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
BTTS 68%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: AC Milan 1.52 · Inter 1.99.
1 30% · X 22% · 2 49%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 9%
1:2 9%
2:1 6.9%
2:2 6.8%
1:3 6%
0:1 5.9%
0:2 5.9%
2:3 4.5%
1:0 4.5%
0:3 3.9%
3:1 3.5%
3:2 3.5%

About this assessment

Model outcome Inter Win
Probability 49%
Predicted Odds 2.04

Team Comparison

AC Milan Inter
5 League Position 2
18 Points 25
56% Win % 89%
2 Avg Goals Scored 2.78
1.22 Avg Goals Conceded 1.11

Venue Form

AC Milan at Home
W1 D0 L2 (3 games)
33% win rate
Inter Away
W1 D1 L1 (3 games)
33% win rate

Recent Form

AC Milan
L W W L D
Inter
W W D W L