1
23%
Home Win
4.37
X
29%
Draw
3.47
2
48%
Away Win
2.07
xG Home
0.79
xG Away
1.29
Over 2.5 Goals
35%
BTTS
40%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Lecce an expected 0.8 goals and Bologna an expected 1.3 goals. Lecce have a 23% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and Bologna at 48%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 65%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
16%
1:1
12.7%
0:0
12.4%
0:2
10.4%
1:0
9.8%
1:2
8.2%
2:1
5.1%
0:3
4.5%
2:0
3.9%
1:3
3.6%
2:2
3.3%
0:4
1.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Bologna Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 48% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.08 |
| Market Odds | 2.22 |
Team Comparison
| Lecce | Bologna | |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | League Position | 8 |
| 38 | Points | 56 |
| 26% | Win % | 42% |
| 0.74 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.29 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.21 |
Venue Form
Lecce at Home
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Bologna Away
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
Lecce
W
L
D
Bologna
L
W
L
