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Lazio vs Cagliari — Prediction

Lazio Lazio
2 – 0
Most likely score (model)
Sun, 01 Nov 2026 · Serie A
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
Cagliari Cagliari

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
1 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC
Competition
Serie A
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Lazio
  • Sassuolo 2–6 Lazio
  • Lazio 2–1 Parma
  • Venezia 0–2 Lazio
  • Lazio 2–2 AC Milan
  • Udinese 1–2 Lazio
Cagliari
  • AS Roma 4–2 Cagliari
  • Cagliari 0–2 Bologna
  • Udinese 0–1 Cagliari
  • Atalanta 1–1 Cagliari
  • Cagliari 1–0 Lecce
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Lazio 9 · Cagliari 9. Data saved: 2026-10-31 00:00 UTC.

Table season: 2026

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Lazio 77% · 2026-10-31 10:20 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

1 82%
Home Win 1.22
X 13%
Draw 7.48
2 5%
Away Win 21.88
Model goal expectation · 1 2.42
Model goal expectation · 2 0.41
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
BTTS 30%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Lazio 2.42 · Cagliari 0.41.
1 82% · X 13% · 2 5%.

Correct Score Predictions

2:0 17.4%
1:0 14.4%
3:0 14%
4:0 8.5%
2:1 7%
0:0 5.9%
1:1 5.8%
3:1 5.7%
4:1 3.4%
0:1 2.4%
2:2 1.4%
1:2 1.2%

About this assessment

Model outcome Lazio Win
Probability 82%
Predicted Odds 1.22

Team Comparison

Lazio Cagliari
1 League Position 10
25 Points 13
89% Win % 44%
2.44 Avg Goals Scored 0.89
0.78 Avg Goals Conceded 1.44

Venue Form

Lazio at Home
W1 D1 L0 (2 games)
50% win rate
Cagliari Away
W1 D1 L1 (3 games)
33% win rate

Recent Form

Lazio
W W W D W
Cagliari
L L W D W

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