Kyoto Sanga vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima Prediction

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1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sun, 17 May 2026 · J1 League
1 44%
Home Win 2.27
X 25%
Draw 3.92
2 30%
Away Win 3.29
xG Home 1.50
xG Away 1.20
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
BTTS 54%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Kyoto Sanga an expected 1.5 goals and Sanfrecce Hiroshima an expected 1.2 goals. Kyoto Sanga have a 44% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Sanfrecce Hiroshima at 30%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 51%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.1%
1:0 10.1%
2:1 9.1%
0:1 8.1%
2:0 7.6%
1:2 7.3%
0:0 6.7%
2:2 5.4%
0:2 4.8%
3:1 4.5%
3:0 3.8%
1:3 2.9%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Kyoto Sanga Win
Probability 35%
Predicted Odds 2.86
Market Odds 3.04

Team Comparison

Kyoto Sanga Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0 League Position 0
0 Points 0

Venue Form

Kyoto Sanga at Home
W0 D0 L3 (3 games)
0% win rate
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Away
W2 D0 L1 (3 games)
67% win rate

Recent Form

Kyoto Sanga
L L L
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W W L

Head to Head

27 Feb 2026 J1 League
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1 : 2 Kyoto Sanga
W
12 Sep 2025 J1 League
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1 : 1 Kyoto Sanga
D
29 Mar 2025 J1 League
Kyoto Sanga 1 : 0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L