1
37%
Home Win
2.67
X
30%
Draw
3.31
2
32%
Away Win
3.09
xG Home
1.08
xG Away
0.98
Over 2.5 Goals
34%
BTTS
41%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Kyoto Sanga an expected 1.1 goals and Sanfrecce Hiroshima an expected 1.0 goals. Kyoto Sanga have a 37% win probability, draw stands at 30%, and Sanfrecce Hiroshima at 32%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 66%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
13.7%
1:1
13.5%
0:0
12.7%
0:1
12.5%
2:0
7.4%
2:1
7.3%
1:2
6.6%
0:2
6.1%
2:2
3.6%
3:0
2.7%
3:1
2.6%
1:3
2.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Kyoto Sanga Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 35% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.86 |
| Market Odds | 3.04 |
Team Comparison
| Kyoto Sanga | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 4 |
| 68 | Points | 68 |
| 50% | Win % | 53% |
| 1.63 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.21 |
| 1.05 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.74 |
Venue Form
Kyoto Sanga at Home
W0
D0
L3
(3 games)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Away
W2
D0
L2
(4 games)
Recent Form
Kyoto Sanga
L
L
L
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
W
W
L
Head to Head
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1 : 2
Kyoto Sanga
W
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1 : 1
Kyoto Sanga
D
Kyoto Sanga
1 : 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
