1
45%
Home Win
2.21
X
26%
Draw
3.85
2
29%
Away Win
3.49
xG Home
1.47
xG Away
1.11
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
BTTS
52%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Kyoto Sanga an expected 1.5 goals and Machida Zelvia an expected 1.1 goals. Kyoto Sanga have a 45% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Machida Zelvia at 29%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 52%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.4%
1:0
11.1%
2:1
9.1%
0:1
8.4%
2:0
8.2%
0:0
7.6%
1:2
6.9%
2:2
5.1%
0:2
4.7%
3:1
4.5%
3:0
4%
1:3
2.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Kyoto Sanga Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Kyoto Sanga | Machida Zelvia | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 6 |
| 68 | Points | 60 |
| 50% | Win % | 45% |
| 1.63 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.37 |
| 1.05 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
Venue Form
Kyoto Sanga at Home
W0
D0
L4
(4 games)
Machida Zelvia Away
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
Kyoto Sanga
L
L
L
L
Machida Zelvia
W
D
W
