1
55%
Home Win
1.82
X
27%
Draw
3.76
2
18%
Away Win
5.41
xG Home
1.47
xG Away
0.73
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
BTTS
40%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Kyoto Sanga an expected 1.5 goals and Avispa Fukuoka an expected 0.7 goals. Kyoto Sanga have a 55% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Avispa Fukuoka at 18%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 62%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
16.3%
2:0
12%
1:1
11.9%
0:0
11.1%
2:1
8.7%
0:1
8.1%
3:0
5.9%
1:2
4.3%
3:1
4.3%
2:2
3.2%
0:2
2.9%
4:0
2.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Kyoto Sanga Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 55% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.82 |
| Market Odds | 1.93 |
Team Comparison
| Kyoto Sanga | Avispa Fukuoka | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 12 |
| 68 | Points | 48 |
| 50% | Win % | 32% |
| 1.63 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.89 |
| 1.05 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
Venue Form
Kyoto Sanga at Home
W0
D0
L3
(3 games)
Avispa Fukuoka Away
W2
D1
L1
(4 games)
Recent Form
Kyoto Sanga
L
L
L
Avispa Fukuoka
W
D
L
W
