1
32%
Home Win
3.11
X
29%
Draw
3.45
2
39%
Away Win
2.57
xG Home
1.04
xG Away
1.17
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
BTTS
45%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Korona Kielce an expected 1.0 goals and Gornik Zabrze an expected 1.2 goals. Korona Kielce have a 32% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and Gornik Zabrze at 39%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 62%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13.3%
0:1
12.9%
1:0
11.4%
0:0
11%
1:2
7.8%
0:2
7.5%
2:1
6.9%
2:0
5.9%
2:2
4.1%
1:3
3.1%
0:3
2.9%
3:1
2.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Gornik Zabrze Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 39% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.56 |
| Market Odds | 2.73 |
Team Comparison
| Korona Kielce | Gornik Zabrze | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | League Position | 2 |
| 43 | Points | 56 |
| 32% | Win % | 47% |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.47 |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.12 |
Venue Form
Korona Kielce at Home
W1
D2
L0
(3 games)
Gornik Zabrze Away
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
Korona Kielce
W
D
D
Gornik Zabrze
D
W
