Korona Kielce vs Gornik Zabrze Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sat, 01 Aug 2026 · Ekstraklasa
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Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.04
xG Away 1.17
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
BTTS 45%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Korona Kielce an expected 1.0 goals and Gornik Zabrze an expected 1.2 goals. Korona Kielce have a 32% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and Gornik Zabrze at 39%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 62%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 13.3%
0:1 12.9%
1:0 11.4%
0:0 11%
1:2 7.8%
0:2 7.5%
2:1 6.9%
2:0 5.9%
2:2 4.1%
1:3 3.1%
0:3 2.9%
3:1 2.4%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Gornik Zabrze Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Team Comparison

Korona Kielce Gornik Zabrze
11 League Position 2
43 Points 56
32% Win % 47%
1.18 Avg Goals Scored 1.47
1.18 Avg Goals Conceded 1.12

Venue Form

Korona Kielce at Home
W2 D3 L1 (6 games)
33% win rate
Gornik Zabrze Away
W3 D1 L0 (4 games)
75% win rate

Recent Form

Korona Kielce
W L D W D
Gornik Zabrze
W W D W

Head to Head

18 Apr 2026 Ekstraklasa
Gornik Zabrze 1 : 0 Korona Kielce
L
18 Oct 2025 Ekstraklasa
Korona Kielce 1 : 1 Gornik Zabrze
D
24 May 2025 Ekstraklasa
Gornik Zabrze 1 : 1 Korona Kielce
D