1
60%
Home Win
1.68
X
19%
Draw
5.19
2
21%
Away Win
4.76
xG Home
2.34
xG Away
1.34
Over 2.5 Goals
71%
BTTS
67%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Kawasaki Frontale an expected 2.3 goals and Nagoya Grampus an expected 1.3 goals. Kawasaki Frontale have a 60% win probability, draw stands at 19%, and Nagoya Grampus at 21%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 71%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:1
9.2%
1:1
7.9%
3:1
7.2%
2:0
6.9%
2:2
6.2%
1:0
5.9%
3:0
5.4%
1:2
5.3%
3:2
4.8%
4:1
4.2%
0:1
3.4%
4:0
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Kawasaki Frontale Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 60% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.67 |
| Market Odds | 1.77 |
Team Comparison
| Kawasaki Frontale | Nagoya Grampus | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | League Position | 16 |
| 57 | Points | 43 |
| 39% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.76 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.16 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.47 |
Venue Form
Kawasaki Frontale at Home
W3
D1
L1
(5 games)
Nagoya Grampus Away
W2
D0
L4
(6 games)
Recent Form
Kawasaki Frontale
D
W
L
W
W
Nagoya Grampus
L
L
L
W
W
