Kawasaki Frontale vs Machida Zelvia Prediction

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1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sun, 17 May 2026 · J1 League
1 38%
Home Win 2.61
X 24%
Draw 4.25
2 38%
Away Win 2.62
xG Home 1.59
xG Away 1.59
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
BTTS 63%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Kawasaki Frontale an expected 1.6 goals and Machida Zelvia an expected 1.6 goals. Kawasaki Frontale have a 38% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Machida Zelvia at 38%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 61%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 10.5%
2:1 8.4%
1:2 8.4%
1:0 6.6%
2:2 6.6%
0:1 6.6%
2:0 5.3%
0:2 5.3%
3:1 4.4%
1:3 4.4%
0:0 4.2%
3:2 3.5%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Machida Zelvia Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Team Comparison

Kawasaki Frontale Machida Zelvia
8 League Position 6
57 Points 60
39% Win % 45%
1.76 Avg Goals Scored 1.37
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1

Venue Form

Kawasaki Frontale at Home
W3 D0 L1 (4 games)
75% win rate
Machida Zelvia Away
W2 D1 L0 (3 games)
67% win rate

Recent Form

Kawasaki Frontale
W L W W
Machida Zelvia
W D W

Head to Head

28 Mar 2026 J1 League
Machida Zelvia 1 : 1 Kawasaki Frontale
D
31 Aug 2025 J1 League
Kawasaki Frontale 5 : 3 Machida Zelvia
L
06 Apr 2025 J1 League
Machida Zelvia 2 : 2 Kawasaki Frontale
D