1
35%
Home Win
2.89
X
22%
Draw
4.56
2
43%
Away Win
2.3
xG Home
1.67
xG Away
1.89
Over 2.5 Goals
69%
BTTS
69%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Kawasaki Frontale an expected 1.7 goals and Kyoto Sanga an expected 1.9 goals. Kawasaki Frontale have a 35% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Kyoto Sanga at 43%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 69%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
9%
1:2
8.5%
2:1
7.5%
2:2
7.1%
0:1
5.4%
1:3
5.3%
0:2
5.1%
1:0
4.7%
2:3
4.5%
3:1
4.2%
2:0
4%
3:2
3.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Kyoto Sanga Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 43% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.33 |
| Market Odds | 2.47 |
Team Comparison
| Kawasaki Frontale | Kyoto Sanga | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | League Position | 3 |
| 57 | Points | 68 |
| 39% | Win % | 50% |
| 1.76 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.63 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.05 |
Venue Form
Kawasaki Frontale at Home
W2
D0
L1
(3 games)
Kyoto Sanga Away
W1
D1
L3
(5 games)
Recent Form
Kawasaki Frontale
L
W
W
Kyoto Sanga
W
L
L
D
L
