Kawasaki Frontale vs Kashima Prediction

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1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sat, 19 Sep 2026 · J1 League
1 28%
Home Win 3.55
X 23%
Draw 4.29
2 49%
Away Win 2.06
xG Home 1.30
xG Away 1.77
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
BTTS 60%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Kawasaki Frontale an expected 1.3 goals and Kashima an expected 1.8 goals. Kawasaki Frontale have a 28% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Kashima at 49%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 59%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 10.7%
1:2 9.5%
0:1 8.3%
0:2 7.3%
2:1 6.9%
2:2 6.1%
1:0 6%
1:3 5.6%
0:0 4.7%
0:3 4.3%
2:0 3.9%
2:3 3.6%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Kashima Win
Probability 49%
Predicted Odds 2.04
Market Odds 2.17

Team Comparison

Kawasaki Frontale Kashima
8 League Position 1
57 Points 76
39% Win % 61%
1.76 Avg Goals Scored 1.53
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 0.82

Venue Form

Kawasaki Frontale at Home
W3 D0 L1 (4 games)
75% win rate
Kashima Away
W1 D1 L3 (5 games)
20% win rate

Recent Form

Kawasaki Frontale
W L W W
Kashima
L L D L W