Kashiwa Reysol vs JEF United Chiba Prediction

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1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sat, 23 May 2026 · J1 League
1 44%
Home Win 2.27
X 25%
Draw 3.92
2 30%
Away Win 3.29
xG Home 1.50
xG Away 1.20
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
BTTS 54%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Kashiwa Reysol an expected 1.5 goals and JEF United Chiba an expected 1.2 goals. Kashiwa Reysol have a 44% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and JEF United Chiba at 30%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 51%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.1%
1:0 10.1%
2:1 9.1%
0:1 8.1%
2:0 7.6%
1:2 7.3%
0:0 6.7%
2:2 5.4%
0:2 4.8%
3:1 4.5%
3:0 3.8%
1:3 2.9%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Kashiwa Reysol Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Venue Form

Kashiwa Reysol at Home
W1 D1 L4 (6 games)
17% win rate
JEF United Chiba Away
W1 D1 L3 (5 games)
20% win rate

Recent Form

Kashiwa Reysol
L W L L L
JEF United Chiba
D W L L L

Head to Head

07 Mar 2026 J1 League
JEF United Chiba 2 : 1 Kashiwa Reysol
L
31 Jan 2026 Friendlies Clubs
Kashiwa Reysol 2 : 1 JEF United Chiba
L
09 Feb 2025 Friendlies Clubs
JEF United Chiba 0 : 3 Kashiwa Reysol
W