Kashima vs FC Tokyo Prediction

Kashima Kashima
1 – 0
Most Likely Score
Sat, 23 May 2026 · J1 League
FC Tokyo FC Tokyo
1 63%
Home Win 1.59
X 23%
Draw 4.35
2 14%
Away Win 7.06
xG Home 1.74
xG Away 0.68
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
BTTS 41%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Kashima an expected 1.7 goals and FC Tokyo an expected 0.7 goals. Kashima have a 63% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and FC Tokyo at 14%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 57%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 15.5%
2:0 13.5%
1:1 10.5%
2:1 9.1%
0:0 8.9%
3:0 7.8%
0:1 6.1%
3:1 5.3%
1:2 3.6%
4:0 3.4%
2:2 3.1%
4:1 2.3%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Kashima Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Team Comparison

Kashima FC Tokyo
1 League Position 11
76 Points 50
61% Win % 34%
1.53 Avg Goals Scored 1.08
0.82 Avg Goals Conceded 1.26

Venue Form

Kashima at Home
W3 D0 L0 (3 games)
100% win rate
FC Tokyo Away
W1 D1 L0 (2 games)
50% win rate

Recent Form

Kashima
W W W
FC Tokyo
D W

Head to Head

07 Feb 2026 J1 League
FC Tokyo 1 : 1 Kashima
D
10 Aug 2025 J1 League
FC Tokyo 0 : 1 Kashima
W
01 Mar 2025 J1 League
Kashima 2 : 0 FC Tokyo
L