1
57%
Home Win
1.76
X
28%
Draw
3.58
2
15%
Away Win
6.57
xG Home
1.38
xG Away
0.56
Over 2.5 Goals
31%
BTTS
32%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Kashima an expected 1.4 goals and Avispa Fukuoka an expected 0.6 goals. Kashima have a 57% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Avispa Fukuoka at 15%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 69%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
19.8%
0:0
14.4%
2:0
13.6%
1:1
11.2%
0:1
8.1%
2:1
7.7%
3:0
6.2%
3:1
3.5%
1:2
3.1%
0:2
2.3%
2:2
2.2%
4:0
2.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Kashima Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 57% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.75 |
| Market Odds | 1.87 |
Team Comparison
| Kashima | Avispa Fukuoka | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 12 |
| 76 | Points | 48 |
| 61% | Win % | 32% |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.89 |
| 0.82 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
Venue Form
Kashima at Home
W4
D0
L0
(4 games)
Avispa Fukuoka Away
W2
D1
L1
(4 games)
Recent Form
Kashima
W
W
W
W
Avispa Fukuoka
W
D
L
W