Juventus vs Napoli — Prediction

1 – 1
Most likely score (model)
Sun, 01 Nov 2026 · Serie A
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
1 Nov 2026, 19:45 UTC
Competition
Serie A
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Juventus
  • Genoa 2–0 Juventus
  • Lecce 0–2 Juventus
  • Juventus 2–0 Atalanta
  • Sassuolo 0–0 Juventus
  • Juventus 1–1 AC Milan
Napoli
  • Monza 1–4 Napoli
  • Napoli 3–3 AS Roma
  • Fiorentina 1–1 Napoli
  • Napoli 1–0 Bologna
  • Napoli 0–1 Arsenal
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Juventus 9 · Napoli 9. Data saved: 2026-10-31 00:00 UTC.

Table season: 2026

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Napoli 46% · 2026-10-31 10:20 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 1.02
Model goal expectation · 2 1.23
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
BTTS 45%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Juventus 1.02 · Napoli 1.23.
1 31% · X 29% · 2 41%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 13.2%
0:1 12.9%
1:0 10.7%
0:0 10.5%
1:2 8.1%
0:2 8%
2:1 6.8%
2:0 5.5%
2:2 4.2%
1:3 3.3%
0:3 3.3%
3:1 2.3%

About this assessment

Model outcome Napoli Win
Probability 41%
Predicted Odds 2.44

Team Comparison

Juventus Napoli
8 League Position 7
14 Points 14
44% Win % 44%
1.22 Avg Goals Scored 1.89
1.11 Avg Goals Conceded 1.22

Venue Form

Juventus at Home
W1 D1 L0 (2 games)
50% win rate
Napoli Away
W1 D1 L0 (2 games)
50% win rate

Recent Form

Juventus
L W W D D
Napoli
W D D W L