1
65%
Home Win
1.55
X
22%
Draw
4.65
2
14%
Away Win
7.16
xG Home
1.88
xG Away
0.74
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
BTTS
44%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Juventus an expected 1.9 goals and Fiorentina an expected 0.7 goals. Juventus have a 65% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Fiorentina at 14%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
13.7%
2:0
12.9%
1:1
10.1%
2:1
9.5%
3:0
8.1%
0:0
7.3%
3:1
6%
0:1
5.4%
4:0
3.8%
1:2
3.7%
2:2
3.5%
4:1
2.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Juventus Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Juventus | Fiorentina | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 15 |
| 69 | Points | 42 |
| 50% | Win % | 24% |
| 1.61 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.08 |
| 0.89 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.32 |
Venue Form
Juventus at Home
W2
D2
L0
(4 games)
Fiorentina Away
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Juventus
D
D
W
W
Fiorentina
L
D
Head to Head
Fiorentina
1 : 1
Juventus
D
Fiorentina
3 : 0
Juventus
L
Juventus
2 : 2
Fiorentina
D
