1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.32
xG Away
0.95
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
BTTS
45%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Juventus an expected 1.3 goals and AC Milan an expected 1.0 goals. Juventus have a 45% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and AC Milan at 27%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 60%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
13.6%
1:1
13%
0:0
10.3%
0:1
9.9%
2:0
9%
2:1
8.5%
1:2
6.2%
0:2
4.7%
2:2
4.1%
3:0
3.9%
3:1
3.7%
1:3
2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Juventus Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Juventus | AC Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 5 |
| 69 | Points | 70 |
| 50% | Win % | 53% |
| 1.61 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.39 |
| 0.89 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.92 |
Venue Form
Juventus at Home
W3
D2
L0
(5 games)
AC Milan Away
W2
D1
L1
(4 games)
Recent Form
Juventus
W
D
D
W
W
AC Milan
W
D
L
W
