Jeju United FC vs Ulsan Hyundai FC Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sat, 05 Sep 2026 · K League 1
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.45
xG Away 1.31
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
BTTS 56%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Jeju United FC an expected 1.5 goals and Ulsan Hyundai FC an expected 1.3 goals. Jeju United FC have a 41% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Ulsan Hyundai FC at 34%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 52%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12%
1:0 9.2%
2:1 8.7%
0:1 8.3%
1:2 7.9%
2:0 6.7%
0:0 6.3%
2:2 5.7%
0:2 5.4%
3:1 4.2%
1:3 3.4%
3:0 3.2%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Jeju United FC Win
Probability 41%
Predicted Odds 2.44
Market Odds 2.59

Team Comparison

Jeju United FC Ulsan Hyundai FC
7 League Position 2
46 Points 51
36% Win % 45%
1.18 Avg Goals Scored 1.58
1.12 Avg Goals Conceded 1.42

Venue Form

Jeju United FC at Home
W1 D3 L0 (4 games)
25% win rate
Ulsan Hyundai FC Away
W0 D3 L1 (4 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Jeju United FC
D D W D
Ulsan Hyundai FC
L D D D