1
38%
Home Win
2.6
X
28%
Draw
3.6
2
34%
Away Win
2.96
xG Home
1.23
xG Away
1.14
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
BTTS
48%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Jeju United FC an expected 1.2 goals and Ulsan Hyundai FC an expected 1.1 goals. Jeju United FC have a 38% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Ulsan Hyundai FC at 34%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 58%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13.1%
1:0
11.5%
0:1
10.6%
0:0
9.3%
2:1
8.1%
1:2
7.5%
2:0
7.1%
0:2
6.1%
2:2
4.6%
3:1
3.3%
3:0
2.9%
1:3
2.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Jeju United FC Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 38% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.63 |
| Market Odds | 2.8 |
Team Comparison
| Jeju United FC | Ulsan Hyundai FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | League Position | 5 |
| 24 | Points | 28 |
| 32% | Win % | 42% |
| 0.89 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.42 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.47 |
Venue Form
Jeju United FC at Home
W1
D2
L0
(3 games)
Ulsan Hyundai FC Away
W0
D2
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
Jeju United FC
D
W
D
Ulsan Hyundai FC
D
D
