1
44%
Home Win
2.26
X
28%
Draw
3.55
2
28%
Away Win
3.63
xG Home
1.29
xG Away
0.96
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
BTTS
45%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives JEF United Chiba an expected 1.3 goals and Kashima an expected 1.0 goals. JEF United Chiba have a 44% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Kashima at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 61%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
13.6%
1:1
13%
0:0
10.5%
0:1
10.1%
2:0
8.8%
2:1
8.4%
1:2
6.3%
0:2
4.8%
2:2
4%
3:0
3.8%
3:1
3.6%
1:3
2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Kashima Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Venue Form
JEF United Chiba at Home
W1
D0
L3
(4 games)
Kashima Away
W1
D1
L2
(4 games)
Recent Form
JEF United Chiba
W
L
L
L
Kashima
L
D
L
W
Head to Head
Kashima
2 : 1
JEF United Chiba
L
JEF United Chiba
0 : 1
Kashima
W
