1
41%
Home Win
2.45
X
28%
Draw
3.59
2
31%
Away Win
3.2
xG Home
1.27
xG Away
1.07
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
BTTS
47%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Istra 1961 an expected 1.3 goals and NK Lokomotiva an expected 1.1 goals. Istra 1961 have a 41% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and NK Lokomotiva at 31%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 58%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13.1%
1:0
12.2%
0:1
10.3%
0:0
9.6%
2:1
8.3%
2:0
7.7%
1:2
7%
0:2
5.5%
2:2
4.5%
3:1
3.5%
3:0
3.3%
1:3
2.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Istra 1961 Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 41% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.44 |
| Market Odds | 2.59 |
Team Comparison
| Istra 1961 | NK Lokomotiva | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 5 |
| 43 | Points | 44 |
| 33% | Win % | 28% |
| 1.08 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.11 |
| 1.39 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.44 |
