Istra 1961 vs NK Lokomotiva Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sat, 01 Aug 2026 · HNL
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.27
xG Away 1.07
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
BTTS 47%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Istra 1961 an expected 1.3 goals and NK Lokomotiva an expected 1.1 goals. Istra 1961 have a 41% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and NK Lokomotiva at 31%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 58%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 13.1%
1:0 12.2%
0:1 10.3%
0:0 9.6%
2:1 8.3%
2:0 7.7%
1:2 7%
0:2 5.5%
2:2 4.5%
3:1 3.5%
3:0 3.3%
1:3 2.5%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Istra 1961 Win
Probability 33%
Predicted Odds 3.03
Market Odds 3.22

Team Comparison

Istra 1961 NK Lokomotiva
6 League Position 5
43 Points 44
33% Win % 28%
1.08 Avg Goals Scored 1.11
1.39 Avg Goals Conceded 1.44

Venue Form

Istra 1961 at Home
W1 D0 L0 (1 games)
100% win rate
NK Lokomotiva Away
W0 D1 L2 (3 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Istra 1961
W
NK Lokomotiva
D L L

Head to Head

11 Apr 2026 HNL
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 2 : 0 Istra 1961
L
30 Jan 2026 HNL
Istra 1961 1 : 1 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
D
25 Oct 2025 HNL
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1 : 2 Istra 1961
W