1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.98
xG Away
1.07
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
BTTS
57%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Inter an expected 2.0 goals and Napoli an expected 1.1 goals. Inter have a 58% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Napoli at 20%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 59%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.1%
2:1
9.9%
1:0
9.4%
2:0
9.3%
3:1
6.5%
3:0
6.1%
1:2
5.4%
2:2
5.3%
0:1
5.1%
0:0
4.7%
3:2
3.5%
4:1
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Inter Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 58% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.72 |
| Market Odds | 1.83 |
Team Comparison
| Inter | Napoli | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 2 |
| 87 | Points | 76 |
| 71% | Win % | 61% |
| 2.34 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.53 |
| 0.92 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.95 |
Venue Form
Inter at Home
W4
D0
L0
(4 games)
Napoli Away
W0
D2
L2
(4 games)
Recent Form
Inter
W
W
W
W
Napoli
D
L
D
L
