1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
2.74
xG Away
0.76
Over 2.5 Goals
68%
BTTS
50%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Inter an expected 2.7 goals and Fiorentina an expected 0.8 goals. Inter have a 79% win probability, draw stands at 13%, and Fiorentina at 8%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 68%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
11.3%
3:0
10.4%
2:1
8.6%
1:0
8.3%
3:1
7.9%
4:0
7.1%
1:1
6.3%
4:1
5.4%
2:2
3.3%
0:0
3%
3:2
3%
1:2
2.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Inter Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 79% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.27 |
| Market Odds | 1.35 |
Team Comparison
| Inter | Fiorentina | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 15 |
| 87 | Points | 42 |
| 71% | Win % | 24% |
| 2.34 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.08 |
| 0.92 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.32 |
Venue Form
Inter at Home
W4
D0
L0
(4 games)
Fiorentina Away
W0
D1
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
Inter
W
W
W
W
Fiorentina
L
L
D
