Incheon United vs Bucheon FC 1995 Prediction

1 – 0
Most Likely Score
Tue, 08 Sep 2026 · K League 1
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Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.60
xG Away 0.76
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
BTTS 43%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Incheon United an expected 1.6 goals and Bucheon FC 1995 an expected 0.8 goals. Incheon United have a 57% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Bucheon FC 1995 at 18%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 58%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 15.1%
2:0 12.1%
1:1 11.5%
0:0 9.4%
2:1 9.2%
0:1 7.2%
3:0 6.4%
3:1 4.9%
1:2 4.4%
2:2 3.5%
0:2 2.7%
4:0 2.6%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Incheon United Win
Probability 57%
Predicted Odds 1.75
Market Odds 1.87

Team Comparison

Incheon United Bucheon FC 1995
6 League Position 11
46 Points 32
36% Win % 21%
1.3 Avg Goals Scored 0.97
1.06 Avg Goals Conceded 1.42

Venue Form

Incheon United at Home
W3 D1 L1 (5 games)
60% win rate
Bucheon FC 1995 Away
W0 D2 L2 (4 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Incheon United
W D W W L
Bucheon FC 1995
L L D D