1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.76
xG Away
0.91
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
BTTS
49%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives HNK Hajduk Split an expected 1.8 goals and NK Varaždin an expected 0.9 goals. HNK Hajduk Split have a 57% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and NK Varaždin at 19%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 50%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
12.2%
1:1
11.1%
2:0
10.7%
2:1
9.8%
0:0
7%
0:1
6.3%
3:0
6.3%
3:1
5.7%
1:2
5%
2:2
4.4%
0:2
2.9%
4:0
2.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | HNK Hajduk Split Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 57% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.75 |
| Market Odds | 1.87 |
Team Comparison
| HNK Hajduk Split | NK Varaždin | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 3 |
| 68 | Points | 54 |
| 56% | Win % | 42% |
| 1.69 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.31 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.28 |
Venue Form
HNK Hajduk Split at Home
W2
D0
L0
(2 games)
NK Varaždin Away
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
HNK Hajduk Split
W
W
NK Varaždin
D
W
