1
35%
Home Win
2.89
X
28%
Draw
3.58
2
37%
Away Win
2.67
xG Home
1.15
xG Away
1.21
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
BTTS
48%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives HNK Gorica an expected 1.2 goals and NK Varaždin an expected 1.2 goals. HNK Gorica have a 35% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and NK Varaždin at 37%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 58%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13.1%
0:1
11.4%
1:0
10.8%
0:0
9.4%
1:2
8%
2:1
7.6%
0:2
6.9%
2:0
6.2%
2:2
4.6%
1:3
3.2%
3:1
2.9%
0:3
2.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | NK Varaždin Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 37% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.7 |
| Market Odds | 2.88 |
Team Comparison
| HNK Gorica | NK Varaždin | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | League Position | 3 |
| 41 | Points | 54 |
| 31% | Win % | 42% |
| 1.11 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.31 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.28 |
Venue Form
NK Varaždin Away
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
NK Varaždin
W
