1
33%
Home Win
3.06
X
29%
Draw
3.5
2
39%
Away Win
2.58
xG Home
1.07
xG Away
1.20
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
BTTS
46%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Hibernian an expected 1.1 goals and Motherwell an expected 1.2 goals. Hibernian have a 33% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and Motherwell at 39%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 60%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13.3%
0:1
12.4%
1:0
11.1%
0:0
10.4%
1:2
7.9%
0:2
7.4%
2:1
7.1%
2:0
6%
2:2
4.3%
1:3
3.2%
0:3
2.9%
3:1
2.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Motherwell Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 39% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.56 |
| Market Odds | 2.73 |
Team Comparison
| Hibernian | Motherwell | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | League Position | 4 |
| 51 | Points | 54 |
| 39% | Win % | 42% |
| 1.55 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.58 |
| 1.12 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.88 |
Venue Form
Hibernian at Home
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Motherwell Away
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Hibernian
L
L
Motherwell
L
W
