Heracles vs Groningen Prediction

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1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sun, 17 May 2026 · Eredivisie
1 44%
Home Win 2.27
X 25%
Draw 3.92
2 30%
Away Win 3.29
xG Home 1.50
xG Away 1.20
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
BTTS 54%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Heracles an expected 1.5 goals and Groningen an expected 1.2 goals. Heracles have a 44% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Groningen at 30%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 51%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.1%
1:0 10.1%
2:1 9.1%
0:1 8.1%
2:0 7.6%
1:2 7.3%
0:0 6.7%
2:2 5.4%
0:2 4.8%
3:1 4.5%
3:0 3.8%
1:3 2.9%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Groningen Win
Probability 50%
Predicted Odds 2
Market Odds 2.13

Team Comparison

Heracles Groningen
0 League Position 0
0 Points 0

Venue Form

Heracles at Home
W0 D0 L1 (1 games)
0% win rate
Groningen Away
W0 D0 L2 (2 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Heracles
L
Groningen
L L

Head to Head

29 Aug 2025 Eredivisie
Groningen 4 : 0 Heracles
L
23 Apr 2025 Eredivisie
Groningen 4 : 1 Heracles
L
28 Jan 2025 Eredivisie
Heracles 1 : 1 Groningen
D