1
16%
Home Win
6.4
X
20%
Draw
5
2
64%
Away Win
1.55
xG Home
0.93
xG Away
2.10
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
BTTS
53%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Heracles an expected 0.9 goals and Groningen an expected 2.1 goals. Heracles have a 16% win probability, draw stands at 20%, and Groningen at 64%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 58%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:2
10.7%
0:1
10.2%
1:2
9.9%
1:1
9.4%
0:3
7.5%
1:3
6.9%
0:0
4.8%
2:2
4.6%
1:0
4.5%
2:1
4.4%
0:4
3.9%
1:4
3.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Groningen Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| Heracles | Groningen | |
|---|---|---|
| 18 | League Position | 9 |
| 19 | Points | 48 |
| 15% | Win % | 41% |
| 1.03 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.44 |
| 2.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.32 |
Venue Form
Heracles at Home
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
Groningen Away
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Recent Form
Heracles
L
Groningen
L
L
Head to Head
Groningen
4 : 0
Heracles
L
Groningen
4 : 1
Heracles
L
Heracles
1 : 1
Groningen
D
