1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.09
xG Away
1.15
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
BTTS
45%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Henan FC an expected 1.1 goals and Tianjin Teda an expected 1.1 goals. Henan FC have a 34% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and Tianjin Teda at 37%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 61%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13.4%
0:1
12.3%
1:0
11.7%
0:0
10.7%
1:2
7.7%
2:1
7.2%
0:2
7.1%
2:0
6.3%
2:2
4.2%
1:3
2.9%
0:3
2.7%
3:1
2.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Tianjin Teda Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 37% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.7 |
| Market Odds | 2.88 |
Team Comparison
| Henan FC | Tianjin Teda | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | League Position | 12 |
| 28 | Points | 31 |
| 28% | Win % | 38% |
| 1.31 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.34 |
| 1.45 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.21 |
Venue Form
Henan FC at Home
W2
D2
L3
(7 games)
Tianjin Teda Away
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Henan FC
L
D
D
W
L
Tianjin Teda
W
L
