1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.13
xG Away
1.90
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
BTTS
58%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Hamburger SV an expected 1.1 goals and VfB Stuttgart an expected 1.9 goals. Hamburger SV have a 22% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and VfB Stuttgart at 55%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 58%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.4%
1:2
9.9%
0:1
9.2%
0:2
8.7%
1:3
6.2%
2:1
5.9%
2:2
5.6%
0:3
5.5%
1:0
5.5%
0:0
4.8%
2:3
3.5%
2:0
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | VfB Stuttgart Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 55% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.82 |
| Market Odds | 1.93 |
Team Comparison
| Hamburger SV | VfB Stuttgart | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | League Position | 4 |
| 38 | Points | 62 |
| 26% | Win % | 53% |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.09 |
| 1.59 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.44 |
Venue Form
Hamburger SV at Home
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
VfB Stuttgart Away
W0
D1
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
Hamburger SV
L
W
L
VfB Stuttgart
L
D
L
