1
41%
Home Win
2.46
X
25%
Draw
3.94
2
34%
Away Win
2.94
xG Home
1.46
xG Away
1.31
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
BTTS
56%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Hamburger SV an expected 1.5 goals and FC Koln an expected 1.3 goals. Hamburger SV have a 41% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and FC Koln at 34%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 52%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12%
1:0
9.2%
2:1
8.7%
0:1
8.2%
1:2
7.9%
2:0
6.7%
0:0
6.3%
2:2
5.7%
0:2
5.4%
3:1
4.2%
1:3
3.4%
3:0
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Hamburger SV Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 41% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.44 |
| Market Odds | 2.59 |
Team Comparison
| Hamburger SV | FC Koln | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | League Position | 14 |
| 38 | Points | 32 |
| 26% | Win % | 21% |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.44 |
| 1.59 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.85 |
Venue Form
Hamburger SV at Home
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
FC Koln Away
W0
D1
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
Hamburger SV
L
W
L
FC Koln
D
