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Guimaraes vs FC Porto — Prediction

Guimaraes Guimaraes
0 – 2
Most likely score (model)
Sun, 08 Nov 2026 · Primeira Liga
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
FC Porto FC Porto

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
8 Nov 2026, 18:00 UTC
Competition
Primeira Liga
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Guimaraes
  • GIL Vicente 0–0 Guimaraes
  • Guimaraes 5–0 Marítimo
  • Benfica 2–0 Guimaraes
  • Guimaraes 1–1 Moreirense
  • Académico Viseu 1–0 Guimaraes
FC Porto
  • FC Porto 4–1 Napoli
  • FC Porto 4–0 Estoril
  • GIL Vicente 0–1 FC Porto
  • FC Porto 3–1 Benfica
  • Casa Pia AC 1–4 FC Porto
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Guimaraes 34 · FC Porto 34. Data saved: 2026-11-06 03:40 UTC.

Table season: 2025

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: FC Porto 49% · 2026-11-07 00:50 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 0.49
Model goal expectation · 2 2.01
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
BTTS 33%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Guimaraes 0.49 · FC Porto 2.01.
1 8% · X 19% · 2 74%.

Correct Score Predictions

0:2 16.6%
0:1 16.5%
0:3 11.1%
0:0 8.2%
1:2 8.1%
1:1 8.1%
0:4 5.6%
1:3 5.4%
1:0 4%
1:4 2.7%
2:2 2%
2:1 2%

About this assessment

Model outcome FC Porto Win
Probability 74%
Predicted Odds 1.35

Team Comparison

Guimaraes FC Porto
9 League Position 1
42 Points 88
35% Win % 82%
1.15 Avg Goals Scored 1.94
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 0.53

Venue Form

Guimaraes at Home
W1 D1 L0 (2 games)
50% win rate
FC Porto Away
W2 D0 L0 (2 games)
100% win rate

Recent Form

Guimaraes
D W L D L
FC Porto
W W W W W

More Primeira Liga Predictions

Alverca vs Casa Pia AC
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 1 · 47%
Nacional vs Académico Viseu
Sat 07 Nov
Sporting CP vs Moreirense
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 1 · 87%
Estoril vs Marítimo
Sun 08 Nov
Estrela da Amadora vs Benfica
Sun 08 Nov Tip: 2 · 77%

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A practical guide to the information shown here.

01

Read the selected market

A match-winner selection and a goal total answer different questions. Read the outcome before comparing percentages.

02

Check the recording time

A saved estimate belongs to its recording time. Check kickoff and the available match context separately.

03

Inspect comparable outcomes

Use a defined period, sample and market when comparing results. A probability is not a historical hit rate.

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Are these probabilities a guarantee?

No. A probability describes a model estimate for a particular selection and recording time; the actual match can finish differently.

Why might this page have no related saved forecasts?

Only relevant fixtures with a verified saved record are shown. The match and prediction catalogues may contain other available information.