1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.54
xG Away
1.38
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
BTTS
59%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Gornik Zabrze an expected 1.5 goals and Lech Poznan an expected 1.4 goals. Gornik Zabrze have a 41% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Lech Poznan at 34%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 56%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.5%
2:1
8.8%
1:0
8.3%
1:2
7.9%
0:1
7.5%
2:0
6.4%
2:2
6.1%
0:0
5.4%
0:2
5.2%
3:1
4.5%
1:3
3.6%
3:0
3.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Gornik Zabrze Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 41% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.44 |
| Market Odds | 2.59 |
Team Comparison
| Gornik Zabrze | Lech Poznan | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 1 |
| 56 | Points | 60 |
| 47% | Win % | 47% |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.82 |
| 1.12 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.32 |
Venue Form
Gornik Zabrze at Home
W2
D0
L1
(3 games)
Lech Poznan Away
W3
D0
L1
(4 games)
Recent Form
Gornik Zabrze
W
L
W
Lech Poznan
L
W
W
W
