1
40%
Home Win
2.5
X
26%
Draw
3.91
2
34%
Away Win
2.9
xG Home
1.43
xG Away
1.31
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
BTTS
56%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives GO Ahead Eagles an expected 1.4 goals and Groningen an expected 1.3 goals. GO Ahead Eagles have a 40% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Groningen at 34%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 52%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.1%
1:0
9.2%
2:1
8.6%
0:1
8.5%
1:2
7.9%
2:0
6.6%
0:0
6.5%
2:2
5.7%
0:2
5.5%
3:1
4.1%
1:3
3.5%
3:0
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | GO Ahead Eagles Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 40% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.5 |
| Market Odds | 2.66 |
Team Comparison
| GO Ahead Eagles | Groningen | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | League Position | 9 |
| 38 | Points | 48 |
| 24% | Win % | 41% |
| 1.59 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.44 |
| 1.56 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.32 |
Venue Form
GO Ahead Eagles at Home
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Groningen Away
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Recent Form
GO Ahead Eagles
L
D
Groningen
L
L