Girona vs Elche Prediction

Girona Girona
1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sat, 23 May 2026 · La Liga
Elche Elche
1 44%
Home Win 2.27
X 25%
Draw 3.92
2 30%
Away Win 3.29
xG Home 1.50
xG Away 1.20
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
BTTS 54%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Girona an expected 1.5 goals and Elche an expected 1.2 goals. Girona have a 44% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Elche at 30%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 51%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.1%
1:0 10.1%
2:1 9.1%
0:1 8.1%
2:0 7.6%
1:2 7.3%
0:0 6.7%
2:2 5.4%
0:2 4.8%
3:1 4.5%
3:0 3.8%
1:3 2.9%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Elche Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Team Comparison

Girona Elche
0 League Position 0
0 Points 0

Venue Form

Girona at Home
W0 D1 L2 (3 games)
0% win rate
Elche Away
W1 D0 L2 (3 games)
33% win rate

Recent Form

Girona
D L L
Elche
L L W

Head to Head

07 Dec 2025 La Liga
Elche 3 : 0 Girona
L
06 Jan 2024 Copa del Rey
Elche 0 : 2 Girona
W
16 Apr 2023 La Liga
Girona 2 : 0 Elche
L