1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.23
xG Away
1.28
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
BTTS
51%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Girona an expected 1.2 goals and Elche an expected 1.3 goals. Girona have a 35% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Elche at 38%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 54%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.8%
0:1
10.4%
1:0
10%
1:2
8.2%
0:0
8.1%
2:1
7.9%
0:2
6.6%
2:0
6.1%
2:2
5.1%
1:3
3.5%
3:1
3.2%
0:3
2.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Elche Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Girona | Elche | |
|---|---|---|
| 19 | League Position | 15 |
| 41 | Points | 43 |
| 24% | Win % | 26% |
| 1.03 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.29 |
| 1.45 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
Venue Form
Girona at Home
W0
D1
L2
(3 games)
Elche Away
W3
D0
L2
(5 games)
Recent Form
Girona
D
L
L
Elche
W
W
L
L
W
Head to Head
Elche
3 : 0
Girona
L
Elche
0 : 2
Girona
W
Girona
2 : 0
Elche
L
