1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.80
xG Away
0.83
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
BTTS
47%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Gimcheon Sangmu FC an expected 1.8 goals and Gwangju FC an expected 0.8 goals. Gimcheon Sangmu FC have a 60% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Gwangju FC at 17%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
12.9%
2:0
11.6%
1:1
10.8%
2:1
9.7%
0:0
7.2%
3:0
7%
0:1
6%
3:1
5.8%
1:2
4.5%
2:2
4.1%
4:0
3.1%
4:1
2.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Gimcheon Sangmu FC Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 60% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.67 |
| Market Odds | 1.77 |
Team Comparison
| Gimcheon Sangmu FC | Gwangju FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | League Position | 12 |
| 34 | Points | 21 |
| 15% | Win % | 9% |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.91 |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.09 |
Venue Form
Gimcheon Sangmu FC at Home
W0
D4
L1
(5 games)
Gwangju FC Away
W1
D3
L0
(4 games)
Recent Form
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
L
D
D
D
D
Gwangju FC
W
D
D
D
