1
71%
Home Win
1.4
X
19%
Draw
5.22
2
10%
Away Win
10.4
xG Home
2.01
xG Away
0.58
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
BTTS
38%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Gimcheon Sangmu FC an expected 2.0 goals and Gwangju FC an expected 0.6 goals. Gimcheon Sangmu FC have a 71% win probability, draw stands at 19%, and Gwangju FC at 10%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 52%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
15.2%
1:0
15.1%
3:0
10.2%
2:1
8.8%
1:1
8.7%
0:0
7.5%
3:1
5.9%
4:0
5.1%
0:1
4.4%
4:1
2.9%
2:2
2.5%
1:2
2.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Gimcheon Sangmu FC Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 71% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.41 |
| Market Odds | 1.5 |
Team Comparison
| Gimcheon Sangmu FC | Gwangju FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | League Position | 12 |
| 17 | Points | 10 |
| 11% | Win % | 5% |
| 0.95 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.53 |
| 1.37 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.26 |
Venue Form
Gimcheon Sangmu FC at Home
W0
D2
L0
(2 games)
Gwangju FC Away
W0
D1
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
D
D
Gwangju FC
D
