1
63%
Home Win
1.59
X
22%
Draw
4.57
2
15%
Away Win
6.51
xG Home
1.87
xG Away
0.79
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
BTTS
46%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives GIL Vicente an expected 1.9 goals and Rio Ave FC an expected 0.8 goals. GIL Vicente have a 63% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Rio Ave FC at 15%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 50%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
13.1%
2:0
12.2%
1:1
10.4%
2:1
9.7%
3:0
7.6%
0:0
7%
3:1
6%
0:1
5.6%
1:2
4.1%
2:2
3.8%
4:0
3.5%
4:1
2.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | GIL Vicente Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 63% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.59 |
| Market Odds | 1.69 |
Team Comparison
| GIL Vicente | Rio Ave FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 12 |
| 50 | Points | 36 |
| 38% | Win % | 24% |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.03 |
| 1.12 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.68 |
Venue Form
GIL Vicente at Home
W2
D0
L2
(4 games)
Rio Ave FC Away
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
Recent Form
GIL Vicente
L
W
L
W
Rio Ave FC
L
