1
65%
Home Win
1.54
X
22%
Draw
4.64
2
13%
Away Win
7.47
xG Home
1.87
xG Away
0.70
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
BTTS
43%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives GIL Vicente an expected 1.9 goals and Casa Pia AC an expected 0.7 goals. GIL Vicente have a 65% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Casa Pia AC at 13%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
14.3%
2:0
13.3%
1:1
10.1%
2:1
9.4%
3:0
8.3%
0:0
7.7%
3:1
5.8%
0:1
5.4%
4:0
3.9%
1:2
3.5%
2:2
3.3%
4:1
2.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | GIL Vicente Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 65% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.54 |
| Market Odds | 1.64 |
Team Comparison
| GIL Vicente | Casa Pia AC | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 16 |
| 50 | Points | 30 |
| 38% | Win % | 18% |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.91 |
| 1.12 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.68 |
Venue Form
GIL Vicente at Home
W2
D0
L2
(4 games)
Casa Pia AC Away
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
GIL Vicente
L
W
L
W
Casa Pia AC
W
L
L
