1
61%
Home Win
1.64
X
21%
Draw
4.88
2
19%
Away Win
5.4
xG Home
2.09
xG Away
1.07
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
BTTS
57%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives GIL Vicente an expected 2.1 goals and Arouca an expected 1.1 goals. GIL Vicente have a 61% win probability, draw stands at 21%, and Arouca at 19%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 61%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:1
9.9%
1:1
9.5%
2:0
9.3%
1:0
8.9%
3:1
6.9%
3:0
6.5%
2:2
5.3%
1:2
5%
0:1
4.5%
0:0
4.2%
3:2
3.7%
4:1
3.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | GIL Vicente Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 61% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.64 |
| Market Odds | 1.74 |
Team Comparison
| GIL Vicente | Arouca | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 8 |
| 50 | Points | 42 |
| 38% | Win % | 35% |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.38 |
| 1.12 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.88 |
Venue Form
GIL Vicente at Home
W2
D0
L3
(5 games)
Arouca Away
W1
D1
L2
(4 games)
Recent Form
GIL Vicente
L
L
W
L
W
Arouca
D
W
L
L
