1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
0.78
xG Away
0.74
Over 2.5 Goals
20%
BTTS
28%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Getafe an expected 0.8 goals and Rayo Vallecano an expected 0.7 goals. Getafe have a 33% win probability, draw stands at 36%, and Rayo Vallecano at 31%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 80%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:0
21.8%
1:0
17%
0:1
16.2%
1:1
12.6%
2:0
6.7%
0:2
6%
2:1
4.9%
1:2
4.7%
2:2
1.8%
3:0
1.7%
0:3
1.5%
3:1
1.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Draw |
|---|---|
| Probability | 36% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.78 |
| Market Odds | 2.96 |
Team Comparison
| Getafe | Rayo Vallecano | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | League Position | 8 |
| 51 | Points | 50 |
| 39% | Win % | 32% |
| 0.84 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.08 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.16 |
Venue Form
Getafe at Home
W2
D2
L2
(6 games)
Rayo Vallecano Away
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
Getafe
W
D
D
W
L
Rayo Vallecano
D
W
