1
31%
Home Win
3.25
X
33%
Draw
3.06
2
37%
Away Win
2.74
xG Home
0.85
xG Away
0.96
Over 2.5 Goals
27%
BTTS
35%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Getafe an expected 0.9 goals and Celta de Vigo an expected 1.0 goals. Getafe have a 31% win probability, draw stands at 33%, and Celta de Vigo at 37%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 73%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:0
16.3%
0:1
15.7%
1:0
13.9%
1:1
13.4%
0:2
7.5%
1:2
6.4%
2:0
5.9%
2:1
5.7%
2:2
2.7%
0:3
2.4%
1:3
2%
3:0
1.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Celta de Vigo Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 37% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.7 |
| Market Odds | 2.88 |
Team Comparison
| Getafe | Celta de Vigo | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | League Position | 6 |
| 51 | Points | 54 |
| 39% | Win % | 37% |
| 0.84 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.39 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.26 |
Venue Form
Getafe at Home
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Celta de Vigo Away
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
Getafe
W
L
L
Celta de Vigo
W
L
L
