1
23%
Home Win
4.29
X
27%
Draw
3.71
2
50%
Away Win
2.01
xG Home
0.88
xG Away
1.43
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
BTTS
45%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Genoa an expected 0.9 goals and AC Milan an expected 1.4 goals. Genoa have a 23% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and AC Milan at 50%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 59%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
14.1%
1:1
12.5%
0:2
10.1%
0:0
9.9%
1:2
8.9%
1:0
8.8%
2:1
5.5%
0:3
4.8%
1:3
4.3%
2:2
4%
2:0
3.9%
2:3
1.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Genoa Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 35% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.86 |
| Market Odds | 3.04 |
Team Comparison
| Genoa | AC Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | League Position | 5 |
| 41 | Points | 70 |
| 26% | Win % | 53% |
| 1.08 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.39 |
| 1.34 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.92 |
Venue Form
Genoa at Home
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
AC Milan Away
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Genoa
L
AC Milan
D
L
W
Head to Head
AC Milan
1 : 1
Genoa
D
Genoa
1 : 2
AC Milan
W
AC Milan
0 : 0
Genoa
D
