1
30%
Home Win
3.31
X
27%
Draw
3.69
2
43%
Away Win
2.34
xG Home
1.09
xG Away
1.35
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
BTTS
49%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Gamba Osaka an expected 1.1 goals and Vissel Kobe an expected 1.4 goals. Gamba Osaka have a 30% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Vissel Kobe at 43%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 56%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.8%
0:1
11.7%
1:0
9.5%
0:0
8.7%
1:2
8.7%
0:2
7.9%
2:1
7%
2:0
5.2%
2:2
4.7%
1:3
3.9%
0:3
3.6%
3:1
2.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Vissel Kobe Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 43% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.33 |
| Market Odds | 2.47 |
Team Comparison
| Gamba Osaka | Vissel Kobe | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | League Position | 5 |
| 57 | Points | 64 |
| 45% | Win % | 47% |
| 1.39 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.21 |
| 1.45 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.87 |
Venue Form
Gamba Osaka at Home
W1
D1
L3
(5 games)
Vissel Kobe Away
W0
D1
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
Gamba Osaka
L
D
L
W
L
Vissel Kobe
L
D
L
