1
36%
Home Win
2.77
X
26%
Draw
3.8
2
38%
Away Win
2.66
xG Home
1.29
xG Away
1.32
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
BTTS
53%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Gamba Osaka an expected 1.3 goals and Urawa an expected 1.3 goals. Gamba Osaka have a 36% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Urawa at 38%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 52%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.5%
0:1
9.7%
1:0
9.4%
1:2
8.3%
2:1
8.1%
0:0
7.3%
0:2
6.4%
2:0
6.1%
2:2
5.3%
1:3
3.7%
3:1
3.5%
0:3
2.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Gamba Osaka Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Gamba Osaka | Urawa | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | League Position | 7 |
| 57 | Points | 59 |
| 45% | Win % | 42% |
| 1.39 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.18 |
| 1.45 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.03 |
Venue Form
Gamba Osaka at Home
W1
D1
L2
(4 games)
Urawa Away
W2
D1
L2
(5 games)
Recent Form
Gamba Osaka
D
L
W
L
Urawa
D
L
W
W
L
Head to Head
Gamba Osaka
1 : 0
Urawa
L
Urawa
0 : 1
Gamba Osaka
W
Gamba Osaka
2 : 4
Urawa
W
