1
53%
Home Win
1.88
X
28%
Draw
3.55
2
19%
Away Win
5.36
xG Home
1.36
xG Away
0.68
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
BTTS
37%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Gamba Osaka an expected 1.4 goals and Tokyo Verdy an expected 0.7 goals. Gamba Osaka have a 53% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Tokyo Verdy at 19%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 67%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
17.8%
0:0
13.1%
2:0
12%
1:1
12%
0:1
8.9%
2:1
8.1%
3:0
5.4%
1:2
4.1%
3:1
3.7%
0:2
3%
2:2
2.8%
4:0
1.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Gamba Osaka Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| Gamba Osaka | Tokyo Verdy | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | League Position | 17 |
| 57 | Points | 43 |
| 45% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.39 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.61 |
| 1.45 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.08 |
Venue Form
Gamba Osaka at Home
W1
D1
L2
(4 games)
Tokyo Verdy Away
W0
D2
L2
(4 games)
Recent Form
Gamba Osaka
D
L
W
L
Tokyo Verdy
D
D
L
L
Head to Head
Gamba Osaka
4 : 1
Tokyo Verdy
L
Tokyo Verdy
0 : 1
Gamba Osaka
W
Gamba Osaka
1 : 1
Tokyo Verdy
D