1
26%
Home Win
3.9
X
28%
Draw
3.61
2
47%
Away Win
2.14
xG Home
0.93
xG Away
1.35
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
BTTS
45%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Gamba Osaka an expected 0.9 goals and Sanfrecce Hiroshima an expected 1.4 goals. Gamba Osaka have a 26% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Sanfrecce Hiroshima at 47%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 60%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
13.9%
1:1
12.8%
0:0
10.2%
1:0
9.5%
0:2
9.4%
1:2
8.7%
2:1
5.9%
2:0
4.4%
0:3
4.2%
2:2
4%
1:3
3.9%
3:1
1.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Sanfrecce Hiroshima Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 47% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.13 |
| Market Odds | 2.26 |
Team Comparison
| Gamba Osaka | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | League Position | 4 |
| 57 | Points | 68 |
| 45% | Win % | 53% |
| 1.39 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.21 |
| 1.45 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.74 |
Venue Form
Gamba Osaka at Home
W1
D1
L2
(4 games)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Away
W2
D0
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Gamba Osaka
D
L
W
L
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
W
L
