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Gamba Osaka vs Cerezo Osaka — Prediction

Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka
1 – 1
Most likely score (model)
Sun, 08 Nov 2026 · J1 League
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
8 Nov 2026, 06:00 UTC
Competition
J1 League
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Gamba Osaka
  • Gamba Osaka 2–2 Kyoto Sanga
  • Avispa Fukuoka 1–2 Gamba Osaka
  • Shimizu S-Pulse 2–2 Gamba Osaka
  • Gamba Osaka 0–1 Vissel Kobe
  • Gamba Osaka 0–2 FC Tokyo
Cerezo Osaka
  • Kashima 4–1 Cerezo Osaka
  • Cerezo Osaka 2–2 JEF United Chiba
  • Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Cerezo Osaka
  • Cerezo Osaka 2–4 Kawasaki Frontale
  • V-Varen Nagasaki 1–1 Cerezo Osaka
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Gamba Osaka 38 · Cerezo Osaka 38. Data saved: 2026-11-03 23:30 UTC.

Table season: 2025

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Gamba Osaka 40% · 2026-11-07 02:10 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 1.88
Model goal expectation · 2 1.77
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
BTTS 70%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Gamba Osaka 1.88 · Cerezo Osaka 1.77.
1 42% · X 22% · 2 37%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 8.6%
2:1 8.1%
1:2 7.6%
2:2 7.2%
3:1 5.1%
1:0 4.9%
2:0 4.6%
0:1 4.6%
3:2 4.5%
1:3 4.5%
2:3 4.2%
0:2 4%

About this assessment

Model outcome Gamba Osaka Win
Probability 42%
Predicted Odds 2.38

Team Comparison

Gamba Osaka Cerezo Osaka
9 League Position 10
57 Points 52
45% Win % 37%
1.39 Avg Goals Scored 1.58
1.45 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5

Venue Form

Gamba Osaka at Home
W0 D1 L2 (3 games)
0% win rate
Cerezo Osaka Away
W0 D2 L1 (3 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Gamba Osaka
D W D L L
Cerezo Osaka
L D D L D

More J1 League Predictions

Avispa Fukuoka vs V-Varen Nagasaki
Sat 07 Nov
FC Tokyo vs Kashima
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 2 · 54%
Kashiwa Reysol vs Kawasaki Frontale
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 1 · 58%
Nagoya Grampus vs Kyoto Sanga
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 2 · 55%
Shimizu S-Pulse vs Tokyo Verdy
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 1 · 45%

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A practical guide to the information shown here.

01

Read the selected market

A match-winner selection and a goal total answer different questions. Read the outcome before comparing percentages.

02

Check the recording time

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03

Inspect comparable outcomes

Use a defined period, sample and market when comparing results. A probability is not a historical hit rate.

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Are these probabilities a guarantee?

No. A probability describes a model estimate for a particular selection and recording time; the actual match can finish differently.

Why might this page have no related saved forecasts?

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