1
44%
Home Win
2.25
X
26%
Draw
3.87
2
30%
Away Win
3.37
xG Home
1.47
xG Away
1.15
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
BTTS
53%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives FSV Mainz 05 an expected 1.5 goals and Union Berlin an expected 1.2 goals. FSV Mainz 05 have a 44% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Union Berlin at 30%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.3%
1:0
10.6%
2:1
9.1%
0:1
8.3%
2:0
7.8%
0:0
7.2%
1:2
7.1%
2:2
5.2%
0:2
4.8%
3:1
4.4%
3:0
3.9%
1:3
2.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | FSV Mainz 05 Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 44% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.27 |
| Market Odds | 2.42 |
Team Comparison
| FSV Mainz 05 | Union Berlin | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | League Position | 11 |
| 40 | Points | 39 |
| 29% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.29 |
| 1.56 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.71 |
Venue Form
FSV Mainz 05 at Home
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Union Berlin Away
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
FSV Mainz 05
L
L
Union Berlin
L
W
L
