1
48%
Home Win
2.08
X
23%
Draw
4.26
2
28%
Away Win
3.51
xG Home
1.75
xG Away
1.29
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
BTTS
60%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives FSV Mainz 05 an expected 1.7 goals and SC Paderborn 07 an expected 1.3 goals. FSV Mainz 05 have a 48% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and SC Paderborn 07 at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 59%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.8%
2:1
9.4%
1:0
8.3%
2:0
7.3%
1:2
7%
0:1
6.2%
2:2
6.1%
3:1
5.5%
0:0
4.8%
3:0
4.2%
0:2
4%
3:2
3.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | FSV Mainz 05 Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 48% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.08 |
| Market Odds | 2.22 |
Venue Form
FSV Mainz 05 at Home
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
SC Paderborn 07 Away
W0
D1
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
FSV Mainz 05
L
L
SC Paderborn 07
D
