1
39%
Home Win
2.53
X
23%
Draw
4.31
2
37%
Away Win
2.68
xG Home
1.65
xG Away
1.60
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
BTTS
65%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives FSV Mainz 05 an expected 1.7 goals and Eintracht Frankfurt an expected 1.6 goals. FSV Mainz 05 have a 39% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Eintracht Frankfurt at 37%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 63%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.2%
2:1
8.4%
1:2
8.2%
2:2
6.8%
1:0
6.4%
0:1
6.2%
2:0
5.3%
0:2
5%
3:1
4.7%
1:3
4.4%
0:0
3.9%
3:2
3.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | FSV Mainz 05 Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 39% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.56 |
| Market Odds | 2.73 |
Team Comparison
| FSV Mainz 05 | Eintracht Frankfurt | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | League Position | 8 |
| 40 | Points | 44 |
| 29% | Win % | 32% |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.79 |
| 1.56 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.91 |
Venue Form
FSV Mainz 05 at Home
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Eintracht Frankfurt Away
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
FSV Mainz 05
L
L
Eintracht Frankfurt
L
D